{"id":9263,"date":"2025-07-02T17:27:19","date_gmt":"2025-07-02T17:27:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/?p=9263"},"modified":"2025-07-03T20:29:19","modified_gmt":"2025-07-03T20:29:19","slug":"200pm-water-cooler-10-14-2024-naked-capitalism","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/?p=9263","title":{"rendered":"2:00PM Water Cooler 10\/14\/2024 | naked capitalism"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>By Lambert Strether of Corrente.<\/p>\n<p>Bird Song of the Day<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>Blue-and-white Mockingbird, Antigua Guatemala\u2013Cerro de la Cruz, Sacatep\u00e9quez, Guatemala.<\/p>\n<p>* * *<br \/>\nIn Case You Might Miss\u2026  <\/p>\n<p>Democrat bedwetting<br \/>\nKamala messaging disasters: Walz goes hunting, manly men, Obama and black men<br \/>\nLabor Secretary Su flies to Seattle, Boeing\u2019s doom loop.<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>Politics<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSo many of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in fact a rational management of symbolic capital.\u201d \u2013Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>2024<\/p>\n<p>Less than thirty days to go!<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p> Friday\u2019s RCP Poll Averages:<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/rcp_2024-10-11.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"630\" height=\"972\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-280203\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/rcp_2024-10-11.png 630w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/rcp_2024-10-11-194x300.png 194w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/rcp_2024-10-11-624x963.png 624w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 630px) 100vw, 630px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>If you ignore the entire concept of margin of error and go with the narrative, another good week for Trump, especially in MI and PA, tbough not, oddly, in the two hurricane swing states, GA and NC. Of course, we on the outside might as well be examining the entrails of birds when we try to predict what will happen to a subset of voters (undecided; irregular) in a subset of states (swing), and the irregulars especially might as well be quantum foam, but presumably the campaign professionals have better data, and have the situation as under control as it can be MR SUBLIMINAL Fooled ya. Kidding!.<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u2018This Is Going To Be Too Close for Comfort\u2019 David Plouffe on the state of play for his boss, Kamala Harris, and what he thinks of the \u2018bed-wetters.&#8217;\u201d (interview) [David Plouffe, New York Magazine]. Plouffe: \u201cThere are independents. Most independents behave in most elections like Democrats or Republicans, but there are some in the middle that definitely fluctuate election to election. They tend to be overrepresented in the true swing voter universe but there are a bunch of these independents who generally consider themselves Republicans who are repelled by Trump. And so you ask: How do we go from basically 48 to 50? Well, it\u2019s going to be some of those voters. It\u2019s going to be making sure we do a very good job of turnout, it\u2019s going to be very important that we maximize our vote share among Democrats, and we think we\u2019re headed to an exceedingly high number there. I will say: Turnout is very important to us. We\u2019re spending a lot of time on it, a lot of money on it, a lot of energy on it. But I think Trump has more fragility because he really is reliant \u2014 and this is unusual, because usually this describes Democrats \u2014 on first-time voters or infrequent voters. And he\u2019s got a lot riding on that. It doesn\u2019t seem to be that he has built the kind of operation in the battleground states that would be consistent with executing on that\u2026. What\u2019s different this time than \u201916 or even \u201920 is he really is reliant on a lot of people who have never voted before, have never voted for a Republican before, or have maybe voted in one of the last four elections. I\u2019m not sure they\u2019ve built the organization for that.\u201d \u2022 Interesting that Plouffe accepts Brownstein\u2019s theory of the case case that irregular voters are key. Even more interestingly, Plouffe thinks that the Trump campaign is \u201cfragile\u201d because its trying to expand the electorate in a way they are not.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHarris losing ground with young Latino men, exclusive USA-TODAY polls find\u201d [MSN]. \u201cVice President Kamala Harris is losing support among young Latino men, even as she continues to hold a lead over Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump among Latino voters in Arizona and Nevada \u2013 two key states that will help determine the 2024 election, according to two exclusive new USA TODAY\/Suffolk University polls\u2026 David Paleologos, director of Suffolk University Political Research Center, said while it\u2019s good news for Harris that she\u2019s leading with Latino voters in both states, the current margin likely won\u2019t be enough for her to claim victories there. \u2018It\u2019s only young people and males, but that offset \u2026 is the reason why Harris\u2019 numbers are not where they should be (for her to win),\u2019 Paleologos said. Harris\u2019 polling in both states among Latino voters is slightly trailing where Biden was in 2020.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>Kamala (D): \u201cWalz goes pheasant hunting with his own Beretta as campaign makes appeal to gun owners\u201d [CBS]. \u201cSleepy Eye, Minnesota \u2014 Carrying a Beretta shotgun, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz trekked through tall straw-like grass for three hours on Saturday for opening day of the state\u2019s pheasant hunting season, but didn\u2019t get one shot off despite his efforts. \u2018There\u2019s good days and there\u2019s great days pheasant hunting,\u2019 Walz said when the day wrapped up.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/walz_gun.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"403\" height=\"1178\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-280335\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/walz_gun.png 403w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/walz_gun-103x300.png 103w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/walz_gun-350x1024.png 350w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 403px) 100vw, 403px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Bad staffwork on multiple levels here. Leave everything else aside, including the crass stereotyping. Did they have no subject matter expert to consult to make sure Walz\u2019s gun was the right sort of gun? And you can say Walz should have known, but it\u2019s still the staff\u2019s job to prevent gaffes. Now the campaign is worse off than before; both pandering and ineffective.<\/p>\n<p>Kamala (D): \u201cDude\u2026No! Pro-Kamala Harris ad targeting \u2018real men\u2019 is mocked as the \u2018cringiest ever created\u2019: \u2018Have they ever met a male human?&#8217;\u201d [Daily Mail]. \u201cThe video features various men declaring their interest in \u2018manly clich\u00e9s\u2019 like bears, drinking bourbon, eating steaks, fixing cars, and lifting weights\u2026 The ad features men with horses, motorcycles, in a mechanics shop, sitting on a truck, lifting weights, or leaning against a fence\u2026 It was shared on the VoteSaveAmerica social media pages, organized by the Crooked.com group that runs Pod Save America.\u201d \u2022 For your delection, here\u2019s the ad:<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>Reminds me of this famous video from back in the day (so denatured Trump plays it at rallies):<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>Kamala\u2019s supporters have just swapped in different, more up-to-date male stereotypes (which, I suppose, is what identity politcs is all about).<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>Kamala (D): \u201cBarack Obama\u2019s Tiresome Condescension Toward Black Men\u201d [New York Magazine]. \u201cOne need not equivocate to recognize that there are substantive reasons for Black voters to reject Democrats like Obama and Harris on the same basis as they do Republicans. The framework Obama uses leaves little room for misgivings about the fact that Harris is going to great lengths to collapse the distance between herself and the GOP. When she learned that former vice-president Dick Cheney, a chief architect of the United States\u2019 atrocities during the War on Terror, was planning to vote for her, Harris unironically thanked him for \u2018what he has done to serve our country.\u2019 She has become more hawkish on immigration in response to Trump\u2019s naked xenophobia, and she has recommitted to unconditionally sending arms to Israel amid its slaughter of Gazan and Lebanese civilians \u2014 a dogmatic position held by Democratic and Republican administrations alike, including Biden\u2019s and Trump\u2019s. During a recent appearance on ABC\u2019s The View, Harris seemed to flub an easy opportunity to distance herself from the unpopular incumbent when she struggled to explain how she would govern differently. But she recovered later that day by reiterating an earlier promise that, unlike Biden, she would appoint a Republican to her Cabinet.\u201d \u2022 Commentary:<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">I\u2019ve met pretty much all the most popular Dems or at least been in spaces with them when we unionized Amazon. One person who I\u2019ve never heard from till this date not even to congratulate workers fighting back is Barrack Obama. He can\u2019t preach that Black man brother talk to me.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Christian Smalls (@Shut_downAmazon) October 13, 2024<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhy historian who accurately predicts elections says October surprise is a \u2018myth&#8217;\u201d [USA Today]. Allan Lichtman, the historian who correctly predicted nine of the ten most recent presidential elections, said in an interview that any October surprise that could upend the 2024 presidential race is a \u2018myth.\u2019 Lichtman: \u201c[I]t\u2019s governing, not campaigning that counts. \u2026[T]his whole idea of an October surprise is a huge myth,\u2019 he said. \u2018I\u2019ve always made my predictions before then, and never change them.&#8217;\u201d<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>MI: \u201cHarris\u2019 struggles with Michigan\u2019s working-class voters provides opening for Trump, GOP\u201d [FOX]. \u201cAccording to a report in The Wall Street Journal on Tuesday, prominent Michigan Democrats, including Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, have made appeals to the Harris campaign to focus on the state more as the election draws to a close. They have also warned Harris to sharpen her economic messaging, the report notes, with fears spreading that Trump has done well to court the state\u2019s working class voters. Harris\u2019 struggles have also extended to union members, a group that has long been a stronghold for Democrats in the state. However, an internal poll conducted by Teamsters, one of the country\u2019s largest and most influential unions, found that members in Michigan preferred Trump (61.7%) over Harris (35.2%), while national union leaders declined to make an endorsement in this year\u2019s presidential race, despite supporting President Biden\u2019s campaign in 2020. Harris also failed to gain the support of the International Association of Fire Fighters, which also supported Biden in 2020, though she did gain the support of both United Auto Workers and the Service Employees International Union.\u201d \u2022 I can\u2019t imagine Whitmer\u2019s recent \u201cweird\u201d video helped.<\/p>\n<p>Syndemics<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI am in earnest \u2014 I will not equivocate \u2014 I will not excuse \u2014 I will not retreat a single inch \u2014 AND I WILL BE HEARD.\u201d \u2013William Lloyd Garrison<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>Covid Resources, United States (National): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; includes many counties; Wastewater Scan, includes drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); \u201cIowa COVID-19 Tracker\u201d (in IA, but national data). \u201cInfection Control, Emergency Management, Safety, and General Thoughts\u201d (especially on hospitalization by city).<\/p>\n<p>Lambert here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To update any entry, do feel free to contact me at the address given with the plants. Please put \u201cCOVID\u201d in the subject line. Thank you!<\/p>\n<p>Resources, United States (Local): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater reports); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d\u2019Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (wastewater); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).<\/p>\n<p>Resources, Canada (National): Wastewater (Government of Canada).<\/p>\n<p>Resources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux us\u00e9es); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).<\/p>\n<p>Hat tips to helpful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, KF, KidDoc, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, square coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3). <\/p>\n<p>Stay safe out there!<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>TABLE 1: Daily Covid Charts<\/p>\n<p>Wastewater<\/p>\n<p> This week[1] CDC October 5<\/p>\n<p> Last Week[2] CDC (until next week):<\/p>\n<p> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-www-natl.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"310\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-280106\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-www-natl.png 600w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-www-natl-300x186.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/covid-cdc-ww-natl-3.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"310\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-279439\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/covid-cdc-ww-natl-3.png 600w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/covid-cdc-ww-natl-3-300x209.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"\/><\/p>\n<p> Variants [3] CDC October 12<\/p>\n<p> Emergency Room Visits[4] CDC October 5<\/p>\n<p>  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-variants-natl.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"310\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-280211\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-variants-natl.png 600w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-variants-natl-300x235.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-ed-natl.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"310\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-280208\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-ed-natl.png 600w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-ed-natl-300x172.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Hospitalization<\/p>\n<p>New York[5] New York State, data October 10:<\/p>\n<p> National [6] CDC September 21:<\/p>\n<p>  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-ny-hospitalization-nyc-5.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"310\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-280213\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-ny-hospitalization-nyc-5.png 600w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-ny-hospitalization-nyc-5-300x170.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-hospitalization-natl-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"310\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-280209\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-hospitalization-natl-1.png 600w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-hospitalization-natl-1-243x300.png 243w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Positivity<\/p>\n<p>\u2605 National[7] Walgreens October 7:<\/p>\n<p> Ohio[8] Cleveland Clinic October 5:<\/p>\n<p>  <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-walgreens-positivity-states-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-280329\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-walgreens-positivity-states-1.png 600w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-walgreens-positivity-states-1-300x169.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cleveland-positivity-oh-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"310\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-280059\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cleveland-positivity-oh-1.png 600w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cleveland-positivity-oh-1-300x213.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Travelers Data<\/p>\n<p> Positivity[9] CDC September 16:<br \/>\nVariants[10] CDC September 16:<\/p>\n<p>  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-positivity-travelers-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"310\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-280210\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-positivity-travelers-1.png 600w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-positivity-travelers-1-300x169.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-variants-travelers-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"310\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-280212\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-variants-travelers-1.png 600w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-variants-travelers-1-300x195.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Deaths<\/p>\n<p> Weekly Deaths vs. % Positivity [11]CDC September 28:<\/p>\n<p> Weekly Deaths vs. ED Visits [12]CDC September 28:<\/p>\n<p>  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-death-positivity-natl%CC%A7.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"310\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-279827\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-death-positivity-natl\u0327.png 600w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-death-positivity-natl\u0327-300x199.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-death-ed-natl.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"310\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-279826\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-death-ed-natl.png 600w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/covid-cdc-death-ed-natl-300x180.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>LEGEND<\/p>\n<p>1) \u2605 for charts new today; all others are not updated.<\/p>\n<p>2) For a full-size\/full-resolution image, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Windows) on the chart thumbnail and \u201copen image in new tab.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>NOTES<\/p>\n<p>[1] (CDC) Still some hot spots, but I can\u2019t draw circles around entire regions this week. Good news!<\/p>\n<p>[2] (CDC) Last week\u2019s wastewater map.<\/p>\n<p>[3] (CDC Variants) KP.* very popular. XEC has entered the chat.<\/p>\n<p>[4] (ED) Down, but worth noting that Emergency Department use is now on a par with the first wave, in 2020.<\/p>\n<p>[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Definitely down.<\/p>\n<p>[6] (Hospitalization: CDC). I see the \u201ceverything in greenish pastels\u201d crowd has gotten to this chart.<\/p>\n<p>[7] (Walgreens) Big drop continues!<\/p>\n<p>[8] (Cleveland) Dropping.<\/p>\n<p>[9] (Travelers: Positivity) Up, though lagged.<\/p>\n<p>[10] (Travelers: Variants).<\/p>\n<p>[11] Deaths low, positivity down.<\/p>\n<p>[12] Deaths low, ED down.<\/p>\n<p>Stats Watch<\/p>\n<p>Manufacturing: \u201cUnited States NY Empire State Manufacturing Index\u201d [Trading Economics]. \u201cThe NY Empire State Manufacturing Index unexpectedly jumped to 11.5 in September 2024, the highest since April 2022, compared to -4.7 in August and forecasts of -3.9.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>Manfacturing: \u201cActing US Labor Secretary intervenes to try to end Boeing standoff with union\u201d [Reuters]. \u201cU.S. Acting Labor Secretary Julie Su flew to Seattle to intervene in the labor dispute between Boeing and about 33,000 striking workers that threatens the debt-laden company\u2019s finances.\u201d And: \u201cThe latest crisis comes as Boeing\u2019s markets are growing and many of its rivals are scooping up scarce labour to relieve pressure on aerospace supply chains. \u2018The trick will be not losing the 10% of people you want to keep, which is even more important than usual in the post pandemic skill shortage environment,\u2019 said Agency Partners analyst Nick Cunningham.\u201d \u2022 The pandemic environment isn\u2019t \u201cpost,\u201d but nevertheless.<\/p>\n<p>Manufacturing: \u201cBoeing shares are not a buy yet\u201d [The Street]. \u201cThe stock will almost certainly see volatile trading this week. What you want to see is a bottom that holds. To get there probably requires these elements: Peace between labor and the company\u2026 Guarantee of work in the Puget Sound region\u2026. Shoring up Boeing\u2019s capital position\u2026. Peace with the regulators\u2026. Peace with all the people suing Boeing over the 2018 and 2019 crashes.\u201d \u2022 Quite a lot of Ortberg\u2019s plate.<\/p>\n<p>Manufacturing: \u201cBoeing\u2019s endless doom loop gives no respite to new CEO Ortberg\u201d [Fortune]. \u201c[W]ith so-called touch labor accounting for less than 5% for the total cost of a commercial aircraft program, some observers wonder why Boeing isn\u2019t moving with more urgency to end the work stoppage that\u2019s adding to its financial distress. \u2018It\u2019s not a needle mover in terms of Boeing profitability,\u2019 said Ken Herbert, analyst with RBC Capital Markets. \u2018What are we waiting for here? Every day that goes by, it\u2019s more disruptive and more of a cash drain.&#8217;\u201d \u2022 Good question!<\/p>\n<p>Manufacturing: \u201cEmirates to Have Serious Talks with Boeing over New 777X Delays\u201d [Aviation A2Z]. \u201cEmirates President Tim Clark expressed skepticism about Boeing\u2019s ability to forecast delivery dates accurately. He highlighted the Type Inspection Authorisation halt on the 777X and the prolonged union strikes as major obstacles. The 777X is crucial for Emirates\u2019 future wide-body fleet strategy, especially since Airbus has ceased A380 production. Clark revealed that Emirates has made significant and costly amendments to its fleet programs due to Boeing\u2019s \u2018multiple contractual shortfalls.\u2019 \u2026 Aircraft delays have become an industry-wide concern, affecting both Boeing and Airbus. Airlines resort to keeping older aircraft operational longer, often retrofitting them at significant cost.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>Today\u2019s Fear &amp; Greed Index: 77 Extreme Greed (previous close: 74 Greed) [CNN]. One week ago: 69 (Greed). (0 is Extreme Fear; 100 is Extreme Greed). Last updated Oct 14 at 1:16:35 PM ET. \u2022 FIrst transition to Extreme Greed for awhile!<\/p>\n<p>Photo Book<\/p>\n<p>\u201cA window covered with raindrops interests me more than a photograph of a famous person.\u201d \u2013Saul Leiter<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Couple walk in snow, ca 1955 \u00a9 Saul Leiter pic.twitter.com\/NwOAoQ1yvE<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Edward Elderman (@edwereddie) October 12, 2024<\/p>\n<p>Zeitgeist Watch<\/p>\n<p>I believe we have seen a representation of Kowloon Walled City before, but from a different source:<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Kowloon Walled City, likely the densest place ever built (est. 1.9 million people per square km) <\/p>\n<p>A team of Japanese researchers spent time until the night before it was demolished measuring and drawing the building, creating this incredible section pic.twitter.com\/ToeOaarIgH<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Philip Oldfield (@SustainableTall) October 13, 2024<\/p>\n<p>Gallery<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAn Astronomer Has Identified the Village Road in This Van Gogh Painting\u201d [Artnet]. \u201cBeing able to pinpoint a precise location of an area depicted in an artwork usually isn\u2019t an exact science. However, Donald Olson, an astrophysicist and forensic astronomer at the State University System Regent, has used his scientific training to determine where Vincent van Gogh\u2019s iconic 1884 work, Lane of Poplars at Sunset (now held by the Kr\u00f6ller-M\u00fcller Museum in the Netherlands), was in fact painted.\u201d \u2022 The logic is too complex to excerpt, but here\u2019s the painting:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/van-gogh-poplars-sunset-km1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"850\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-280334\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/van-gogh-poplars-sunset-km1.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/van-gogh-poplars-sunset-km1-212x300.jpg 212w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Permaculture<\/p>\n<p>Correct, in my view:<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\u201cAll we are really doing is annihilating processes we don\u2019t understand.\u201d ~Lyle Lewis #thicktrunktuesday <\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Lyle Lewis (@Race2Extinct) October 8, 2024<\/p>\n<p>Carbon capture? Feh!<\/p>\n<p>News of the Wired<\/p>\n<p>\u201cthe quiet art of attention\u201d [stormrider]. \u201cThe mind, like a garden, requires tending. It needs patience, a steady hand, and, above all, consistency. There will be days when it seems unruly, when old habits return, and when focus feels elusive. But these days, too, are part of the process. Each small effort, each moment of renewed attention, builds upon the last. Over time, these moments accumulate, and what was once difficult becomes second nature. And so, the journey to mastery of the mind begins not with grand gestures but with the simplest of practices: the practice of paying attention. Attention to the present, attention to what truly matters, and attention to the quiet spaces in between. In this way, step by step, thought by thought, we move closer to that elusive state of clarity, of peace, and of freedom.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>Contact information for plants: Readers, feel free to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) find out how to send me a check if you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to find out how to send me images of plants. Vegetables are fine! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary plants! If you want your handle to appear as a credit, please place it at the start of your mail in parentheses: (thus). Otherwise, I will anonymize by using your initials. See the previous Water Cooler (with plant) here. From AM:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/grass.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"800\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-280331\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/grass.jpeg 600w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/grass-225x300.jpeg 225w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>AM writes: \u201cHigh grass in the foreground, view towards Edinburgh in the distance from the #2 course at Gullane, Scotland in mid July, 2024.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not covered by the annual NC fundraiser. Material here is Lambert\u2019s, and does not express the views of the Naked Capitalism site. If you see a link you especially like, or an item you wouldn\u2019t see anywhere else, please do not hesitate to express your appreciation in tangible form. Remember, a tip jar is for tipping! Regular positive feedback both makes me feel good and lets me know I\u2019m on the right track with coverage. When I get no donations for three or four days I get worried. More tangibly, a constant trickle of donations helps me with expenses, and I factor in that trickle when setting fundraising goals:<\/p>\n<p>Here is the screen that will appear, which I have helpfully annotated:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-226891\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/contribution.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"606\" height=\"384\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/contribution.png 606w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/contribution-300x190.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 606px) 100vw, 606px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>If you hate PayPal, you can email me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, and I will give you directions on how to send a check. Thank you!\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"printfriendly pf-alignleft\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border:none;-webkit-box-shadow:none; -moz-box-shadow: none; box-shadow:none; padding:0; margin:0\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.printfriendly.com\/buttons\/print-button-gray.png\" alt=\"Print Friendly, PDF &amp; Email\"\/><\/div>\n<p>This entry was posted in Water Cooler on October 14, 2024 by Lambert Strether. <\/p>\n<div class=\"author-info\">\n<div class=\"author-description\">\nAbout Lambert Strether<\/p>\n<p>Readers, I have had a correspondent characterize my views as realistic cynical. Let me briefly explain them. I believe in universal programs that provide concrete material benefits, especially to the working class. Medicare for All is the prime example, but tuition-free college and a Post Office Bank also fall under this heading. So do a Jobs Guarantee and a Debt Jubilee. Clearly, neither liberal Democrats nor conservative Republicans can deliver on such programs, because the two are different flavors of neoliberalism (\u201cBecause markets\u201d). I don\u2019t much care about the \u201cism\u201d that delivers the benefits, although whichever one does have to put common humanity first, as opposed to markets. Could be a second FDR saving capitalism, democratic socialism leashing and collaring it, or communism razing it. I don\u2019t much care, as long as the benefits are delivered.<br \/>\nTo me, the key issue \u2014 and this is why Medicare for All is always first with me \u2014 is the tens of thousands of excess \u201cdeaths from despair,\u201d as described by the Case-Deaton study, and other recent studies. That enormous body count makes Medicare for All, at the very least, a moral and strategic imperative. And that level of suffering and organic damage makes the concerns of identity politics \u2014 even the worthy fight to help the refugees Bush, Obama, and Clinton\u2019s wars created \u2014 bright shiny objects by comparison. Hence my frustration with the news flow \u2014 currently in my view the swirling intersection of two, separate Shock Doctrine campaigns, one by the Administration, and the other by out-of-power liberals and their allies in the State and in the press \u2014 a news flow that constantly forces me to focus on matters that I regard as of secondary importance to the excess deaths. What kind of political economy is it that halts or even reverses the increases in life expectancy that civilized societies have achieved? I am also very hopeful that the continuing destruction of both party establishments will open the space for voices supporting programs similar to those I have listed; let\u2019s call such voices \u201cthe left.\u201d Volatility creates opportunity, especially if the Democrat establishment, which puts markets first and opposes all such programs, isn\u2019t allowed to get back into the saddle. Eyes on the prize! I love the tactical level, and secretly love even the horse race, since I\u2019ve been blogging about it daily for fourteen years, but everything I write has this perspective at the back of it.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Post navigation<br \/>\n\u2190 Brief History of Bipartisan Ballot Bamboozlement: 2000\u20132020<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/2024\/10\/200pm-water-cooler-10-14-2024.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Lambert Strether of Corrente. Bird Song of the Day Blue-and-white Mockingbird, Antigua Guatemala\u2013Cerro de la Cruz, Sacatep\u00e9quez, Guatemala. * * * In Case You Might Miss\u2026 Democrat bedwetting Kamala messaging disasters: Walz goes hunting, manly men, Obama and black men Labor Secretary Su flies to Seattle, Boeing\u2019s doom loop. * * * Politics \u201cSo [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9217,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[35,36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9263","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-berita-internasional","category-berita-panas"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9263","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9263"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9263\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10476,"href":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9263\/revisions\/10476"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/9217"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9263"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9263"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9263"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}