{"id":6561,"date":"2025-08-04T23:33:55","date_gmt":"2025-08-04T23:33:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/?p=6561"},"modified":"2025-08-04T23:33:56","modified_gmt":"2025-08-04T23:33:56","slug":"200pm-water-cooler-8-6-2024-naked-capitalism","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/?p=6561","title":{"rendered":"2:00PM Water Cooler 8\/6\/2024 | naked capitalism"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>By Lambert Strether of Corrente<\/p>\n<p>Bird Song of the Day<\/p>\n<p>Readers have been so happy with the mockingbirds I\u2019m going to keep doing them. Now entering Day Two of Week Three!<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>Long-tailed Mockingbird, Quebrada El Lim\u00f3n (Valqui E4.2), Piura, Peru.<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>In Case You Might Miss\u2026  <\/p>\n<p>Best Olympic story.<br \/>\nWalz is Kamala\u2019s VP choice.<br \/>\nClimate tipping points unpredictable.<br \/>\nAndy Warhol\u2019s lost Amiga Art.<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>Look for the Helpers<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/helper_olympic.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"1157\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-276312\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/helper_olympic.png 500w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/helper_olympic-130x300.png 130w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/helper_olympic-443x1024.png 443w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>My email address is down by the plant; please send examples of there (\u201cHelpers\u201d in the subject line). In our increasingly desperate and fragile neoliberal society, everyday normal incidents and stories of \u201cthe communism of everyday life\u201d are what I am looking for (and not, say, the Red Cross in Hawaii, or even the UNWRA in Gaza).<\/p>\n<p>Politics<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSo many of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in fact a rational management of symbolic capital.\u201d \u2013Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>2024<\/p>\n<p>Less than one hundred days to go!<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p> Friday\u2019s RCP Poll Averages:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/rcp_2023-08-02.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"960\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-276097\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/rcp_2023-08-02.png 500w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/rcp_2023-08-02-156x300.png 156w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Drops for Trump across the board, including a 2.5% drop nationally (almost outside the margin of error, ha ha), and a blue triangle on the mao for the first time.<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>The Campaign Trail:<\/p>\n<p>The VP choice:<\/p>\n<p>Kamala (D): \u201cTim Walz. Hell yeah.\u201d [Dave Karpf, Now and Then]. \u201cWalz\u2019s biography reads like a character ripped from the Aaron Sorkin extended universe. Small town boy from Nebraska, couple decades of military service, high school history teacher, part-time high school football coach who took the team to the state championship\u2026 went on to serve five terms in Congress as a Democrat in a conservative district, then became Governor and, with a small Democratic majority in the statehouse, signed a huge slate of progressive initiatives into law. But he doesn\u2019t talk like a safe, scripted centrist. The guy has spent the past few weeks pitching a comms perfect-game. Every media interview has been clipped and shared on social media. He rolled out the \u2018Trump and Vance are just plain weird\u2018 attack line. Listen to the guy on Ezra Klein\u2019s podcast: he manufactures aww shucks midwestern-dad energy and converts it into body blows against his opponents. This is one of the interesting points about social media this election cycle. Twitter and Facebook aren\u2019t anything like they once were. TikTok is mostly for young people, but the other social networks are still trying to emulate TikTok. Which means, effectively, that we\u2019ve circled back around to short-form video being the dominant communications strategy. Tim Walz gives fantastic soundbites. And fantastic soundbites are what fuel viral media right now.\u201d \u2022 I must confess that the video where Walz allowed his daughter to inveigle him into going on a heartstopping ride at the State Fair (or whichever fair) made me sit up and take notice. Very fresh. And then along came the school lunches, and getting that done with a one-vote (?) majority (quite in contrast to national Democrat whinging). A clip:<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">If he\u2019s picked he should do clips like this every day for America. pic.twitter.com\/A0wrt2qqSk<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Albie\ud83e\ude78\ud83e\uddb7\ud83e\udd1d\ud83e\udd65\ud83c\udf34 (@AlbieBrian) August 5, 2024<\/p>\n<p>Kamala (D): <\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">In one of the most improbable runs in recent political history, Tim Walz is the VP nominee. I wrote about why he was selected. I don&#8217;t think it was just &#8220;weird&#8221;; his legislative record in 2023 in Minnesota mirrors what Kamala Harris wants to get done:<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 David Dayen (@ddayen) August 6, 2024<\/p>\n<p>I don\u2019t agree with this at all. First, we don\u2019t know what Kamala wants to get done:<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Kamala Harris\u2019s campaign page has no policy positions. There\u2019s nothing about the first 100 days. It\u2019s just PR fluff pieces on her and Waltz, and the many ways to donate. I\u2019ve never seen a presidential campaign like this. How are you running for president with no platform? pic.twitter.com\/iARlP2kLzy<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 AshleyStevens (@The_Acumen) August 6, 2024<\/p>\n<p>(Of course, even if there were a platform, Kamala could be lying, as Democrats did continuously over Biden\u2019s cognitive deterioration).<\/p>\n<p>Second, making the assumption that Walz is a progressive instead of just another liberal (see here), Democrats have a long history of embracing progressives just before stabbing them in the back (see under the Biden Transition Team).<\/p>\n<p>Third, personnel is policy. And Kamala has a lot of people in her circle who would look askance at, say, free school lunches without complex eligibility requirements. Picking one of many examples:<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Charles Phillips is also an advisor to NYC mayor Eric Adams and ran his mayoral tech transition. Nightmare. <\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Matt Stoller (@matthewstoller) August 6, 2024<\/p>\n<p>Finally \u2014 and I don\u2019t hate Walz \u2014 if he\u2019s everything we\u2019re being told he is, why in the name of all that is holy isn\u2019t he at the top of the ticket? Maybe if the Democrats hadn\u2019t wired the primaries for Biden [sorry, that name again?] he would be.<\/p>\n<p>Kamala (D): \u201cWalz\u2019s handling of BLM riots, strict COVID rules under microscope after Harris VP pick\u201d [FOX]. \u201cVice President Kamala Harris\u2019 pick of Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as a running mate will put the Democratic governor\u2019s handling of the COVID-19 pandemic and widespread riots in the state back in the national spotlight. \u2018[H]e\u2019s been a disaster for Minnesota and is by far the most partisan governor that I can remember having,\u2019 Minnesota GOP Chairman David Hann told Fox News Digital last week. \u2018Going back to 2020, certainly \u2013 he did nothing to try to stop the riots going on in Minneapolis. I think he was fearful of alienating his \u2018progressive\u2019 base, who were supporting the riots. Kamala Harris was raising money for the rioters.\u201d And: \u201cMeanwhile, critics point to Walz\u2019s memorandum mandating indoor masking during the coronavirus pandemic, which he enacted in 2020 and ended in 2021. The Upper Midwest Law Center sued, calling the mandate unconstitutional, but an appellate court ultimately sided with Walz.\u201d \u2022 Different framing:<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Walz is absolutely unafraid to govern. <\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Zephyr Teachout (@ZephyrTeachout) August 6, 2024<\/p>\n<p>\u201cUnafraid to govern\u201d (sounds like Stoller).<\/p>\n<p>Kamala (D): \u201cKamala Harris chooses Tim Walz as running mate in US presidential election\u201d [Financial Times]. Walz after a clip from 2021 went viral, in which Vance warned the US was being run by \u201ca bunch of childless cat ladies\u201d: \u201c\u2018My God, they went after cat people \u2014 good luck with that. Turn on the internet and see what cat people do when you go after \u2018em. It would be funny if it wasn\u2019t so sad,\u2019 Walz said in one MSNBC appearance.\u201d \u2022 Walz can stick the shiv in. I like that.<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>Walz and Covid:<\/p>\n<p>Kamala (D): \u201c\u2018Buckle it up\u2019: Walz orders MN to \u2018stay at home\u2019 to curb virus spread\u201d [MPR News] (March 25, 2020 5:30 AM). \u201cGov. Tim Walz has ordered Minnesotans to stay at home for two weeks, at least, as part of the state\u2019s ongoing efforts to control the spread of the coronavirus and COVID-19 disease. The order isn\u2019t a complete lockdown and it allows essential activities and services to continue, Walz said. People will be allowed to exercise outdoors and visit the grocery store, for example, with proper social distancing. \u2018Buckle it up for a few more weeks,\u2019 the governor said. The order takes effect Saturday and lasts through April 10. Walz said it\u2019s impossible to lessen the number of Minnesotans who will become infected with COVID-19, but the stay-home order is intended to push out the time of peak infections so there are intensive care unit beds available for those who need it. \u2018The thing that Minnesota is going to do is ensure if you need an ICU, it\u2019s there,\u2019 Walz told the state in a livestreamed address Wednesday.\u201d \u2022 Ah yes. \u201cFlatten the curve.\u201d We all did that, and then the PMC discovered they could work from home and have servants bring them stuff, at which point they threw the working class under the bus. Not Walz\u2019s fault, but\u2026 <\/p>\n<p>Kamala (D): \u201cAs cases fall and vaccination ramps up, Gov. Walz adjusts COVID-19 mitigation measures\u201d [mpls downtown council] (March 12, 2021). \u201c\u2018Minnesotans should continue to take simple steps to protect the progress we\u2019ve made, but the data shows that we are beating COVID-19,\u2019 said Governor Walz. \u2018Our vaccine rollout is leading the nation, the most vulnerable Minnesotans are getting the shot, and it is becoming increasingly more safe to return to our daily lives. The sun is shining brighter.\u2019 As vaccines have an impact, life is slowly returning to normal. In February, Governor Walz announced a plan to return more students to the classroom, and 90 percent of schools now offer in-person learning, while 60 percent of teachers have been vaccinated. Minnesota is weeks ahead of schedule on vaccinations. Nearly 1.2 million Minnesotans and more than 70 percent of seniors have gotten a shot. \u2018There are more good days now than bad days,\u2019 said Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan.\u201d \u2022 Handy chart (and I love the file name: reanimation_guidelines_210312.png):<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/reanimation_guidelines_210312.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"600\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-276310\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/reanimation_guidelines_210312.png 600w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/reanimation_guidelines_210312-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/reanimation_guidelines_210312-150x150.png 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Shows a prime difficulty of lockdowns: They were organized by lines of business (churches, bars, etc.) instead of by ventilation (and surely a regulatory formula could have been worked out, even in 2020). Of course, in 2021, as today, the public health establishment was dug in against airborne transmission, so that wasn\u2019t \u201cpolitically feasible\u201d as we say.<\/p>\n<p>Kamala (D): \u201cWalz: Jensen\u2019s COVID-19 stance is \u2018killing people&#8217;\u201d [Minnesota Reformer] (August 10, 2022). \u201c\u2018Putting out false information around COVID, yourself not being vaccinated and telling others (not) to \u2014 it\u2019s killing people,\u2019 Walz told MPR News editor Mike Mulcahy. \u2018I think giving a platform for that \u2026 that\u2019s not who we are.\u2019 \u2026 .In the early days of the pandemic, [his gubernatorial opponent Scott Jensen] called COVID-19 a \u201cmild four-day respiratory illness which poses little risk to more than 95% of people.&#8217;\u201d \u2022 Rhetorically, that\u2019s the stuff to give the troops. <\/p>\n<p>Lambert here: Maybe Covid will finally enter the political arena through the back door. From my distinctly minority perspective, neither party has a record they can coherently defend. Trump instituted Operation Warp Speed (OWS), which if it had included sterilizing nasal vaccines, would have been seen as a moonshot, instead of the technical triumph it was. Unfortunately, Trump\u2019s base is disportionately anti-vax, so he can\u2019t take credit for vax, and the Democrats won\u2019t give it to him. Further, Trump modeled masking by denigrating it. Meanwhile, Biden took the great gift that Trump gave him, and squandered it (which their base prevents the Republicans from saying): Rather than pursue a layered strategy that included vax, with a second OWS for mitigation, Biden bet the farm on vax, most especially with vaccine mandates. Unfortunately, the vaccines didn\u2019t prevent transmission, safety studies were hardly optimal, and we ended up with wave after wave of mass infection while CDC continued Trump\u2019s work by simultaneously ruining non-pharmaceutical interventions. Across-the-board elite denial that Covid was even a problem, combined with social norming has worked for awhile, but reality does seem to be breaking through (give it a couple more years). How is Biden\u2019s strategy defensible? At least the Republican messaging about freedom \u2014 vax bad, no mandates, no masking \u2014 is coherent. What do Democrats have in response? \u201cWe did our best\u201d? They didn\u2019t!<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>Kamala (D): \u201cKamala Harris earns majority of Democratic roll call votes, achieving historic presidential nominatio\u201d [ABC]. \u2022 Historic in that Harris is the first candidate ever to run for President whle never winning a single primary running for President.<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>Syndemics<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI am in earnest \u2014 I will not equivocate \u2014 I will not excuse \u2014 I will not retreat a single inch \u2014 AND I WILL BE HEARD.\u201d \u2013William Lloyd Garrison<\/p>\n<p>* * *d<\/p>\n<p>Covid Resources, United States (National): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; includes many counties; Wastewater Scan, includes drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); \u201cIowa COVID-19 Tracker\u201d (in IA, but national data). \u201cInfection Control, Emergency Management, Safety, and General Thoughts\u201d (especially on hospitalization by city).<\/p>\n<p>Lambert here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To update any entry, do feel free to contact me at the address given with the plants. Please put \u201cCOVID\u201d in the subject line. Thank you!<\/p>\n<p>Resources, United States (Local): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater reports); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d\u2019Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).<\/p>\n<p>Resources, Canada (National): Wastewater (Government of Canada).<\/p>\n<p>Resources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux us\u00e9es); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).<\/p>\n<p>Hat tips to helpful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, KF, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, square coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3). <\/p>\n<p>Stay safe out there!<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>Celebrity Watch<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ll always have Paris:<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Indeed.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Arturo Portnoy (@portna) August 5, 2024<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>TABLE 1: Daily Covid Charts<\/p>\n<p>LEGEND<\/p>\n<p>1) \u2605 for charts new today; all others are not updated.<\/p>\n<p>2) For a full-size\/full-resolution image, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Windows) on the chart thumbnail and \u201copen image in new tab.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>NOTES<\/p>\n<p>[1] (CDC) This week\u2019s wastewater map, with hot spots annotated. Keeps spreading.<\/p>\n<p>[2] (CDC) Last week\u2019s wastewater map.<\/p>\n<p>[3] (CDC Variants) KP.* very popular.<\/p>\n<p>[4] (ER) Worth noting Emergency Department use is now on a par with the first wave, in 2020.<\/p>\n<p>[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Leveling off. Doesn\u2019t need to be a permanent thing, of course. (The New York city area has form; in 2020, as the home of two international airports (JFK and EWR) it was an important entry point for the virus into the country (and from thence up the Hudson River valley, as the rich sought to escape, and then around the country through air travel.)<\/p>\n<p>[6] (Hospitalization: CDC). The visualization suppresses what is, in percentage terms, a significant increase.<\/p>\n<p>[7] (Walgreens) An optimist would see a peak.<\/p>\n<p>[8] (Cleveland) Slowing. Comment on the Cleveland Clinic:<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Why is the Cleveland Clinic building a new facility for a professional basketball team? These hospitals are not &#8216;nonprofits&#8217; they are ridiculously profitable monopolies with an endless cash gusher to point at whatever they want. <\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Matt Stoller (@matthewstoller) July 29, 2024<\/p>\n<p>Ka-ching.<\/p>\n<p>[9] (Travelers: Positivity) Up. Those sh*theads at CDC have changed the chart so that it doesn\u2019t even run back to 1\/21\/23, as it used to, but now starts 1\/1\/24. There\u2019s also no way to adjust the time rasnge. CDC really doesn\u2019t want you to be able to take a historical view of the pandemic, or compare one surge to another. In an any case, that\u2019s why the shape of the curve has changed.<\/p>\n<p>[10] (Travelers: Variants) Same deal. Those sh*theads. <\/p>\n<p>[11] Deaths low, but positivity up.<\/p>\n<p>[12] Deaths low, ED up.<\/p>\n<p>Stats Watch<\/p>\n<p>Logistics: \u201cUnited States LMI Logistics Managers Index\u201d [Trading Economics]. \u201cThe Logistics Manager\u2019s Index in the US increased to 56.5 in July 2024, the highest in four months, compared to 55.3 in June, and marking eight consecutive months of expansion in the logistics sector. Transportation continued its recovery, as Transportation Prices went up (+2.8 to 63.8, the highest since May of 2022) and Transportation Capacity expanded slightly (+0.9 to 50.9). It is the 3rd consecutive month the prices have exceeded capacity due to excess capacity contraction and increasing demand. Respondents are predicting that these dynamics will hold, suggesting that the freight recession is potentially ending. Warehousing also remained strong\u2026.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe consumer may be preparing to leave the party.\u201d [Logistics Report, Wall Street Journal]. \u201cFrom McDonald\u2019s to Mercedes-Benz, executives say that many consumers in China and the U.S. are pulling back on spending. \u2026[T]he countries are under different stresses, with U.S. consumers increasingly showing signs of weariness after a run of high inflation while Chinese households focus more on saving than spending. If consumers in the U.S. do falter, it would mean a double whammy for multinational companies, which have been facing weak demand in China. PepsiCo sounded an early alarm on consumer spending in both the U.S. and China, and reported a 4% drop in North American sales volume in the latest quarter. Many American importers have been rushing in goods early ahead of the traditional peak season to get ahead of shipping disruptions. A pullback by consumers would leave them with another inventory overhang.\u201d \u2022 Not the same as what economist Alfred Kahn memorable called \u201ca banana,\u201d but nevertheless a sign of weekness. And that early shipping data point is interesting.<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>Today\u2019s Fear &amp; Greed Index: 21 Exreme Fear (previous close: 19 Extreme Fear) [CNN]. One week ago: 47 (Neutral). (0 is Extreme Fear; 100 is Extreme Greed). Last updated Aug 6 at 11:51:12 AM ET. I turn my back for one minute\u2026.. <\/p>\n<p>Rapture Index: Closes unchanged [Rapture Ready]. Record High, October 10, 2016: 189. Current: 183. (Remember that bringing on the Rapture is good.) \u2022 Hard to believe the Rapture Index is going down. Where are there people getting their news?!<\/p>\n<p>Book Nook<\/p>\n<p>\u201cUncovered Euripides fragments are \u2018kind of a big deal&#8217;\u201d (press release) [University of Colorado Boulder]. \u201cWorking together, Trnka-Amrhein and renowned classics Professor John Gibert embarked on many months of grueling work, meticulously poring over a high-resolution photo of the 10.5-square-inch papyrus. They made out words and ensured that the words they thought they were seeing fit the norms of tragic style and meter. Eventually, they became confident that they were working with new material from two fragmentary Euripides plays, Polyidus and Ino.\u201d And: \u201cPolyidus retells an ancient Cretan myth in which King Minos and Queen Pasipha\u00eb demand that the eponymous seer resurrect their son Glaucus after he drowns in a vat of honey.\u201d \u2022 What.<\/p>\n<p>Zeitgeist Watch<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u2018No Salt&#8217;\u201d [Jake Seliger, The Story\u2019s Story]. \u201cSo I opted for something simple: a shakshuka. Tomatoes, vegetables, sauce, and mild flavorings, topped with feta cheese, eggs, and basil. I reached for the salt, and found the bottle empty. I\u2019m not sure why, but I started weeping. No salt. No salt means that he\u2019s not cooking. He\u2019ll never cook again.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIs The Collapse Of Civilization Boring To You?\u201d [Nate Bear, \u00a1Do Not Panic!]. \u201c[A] bunch of environmental groups came out in support of Kamala Harris just two days after she renounced her previous anti-fracking position. She did this because she wants to win pro-fracking votes in Pennsylvania. Maybe no one has told her that there probably won\u2019t be an entity called Pennsylvania at some point in the next few decades if fracking continues. Or that Trump has a lock on the pro-fracking bloc and no one she wants to convince of her new anti-fracking stance will believe her. Fracking, of course, has seen the US surpass Russia and Saudi Arabia to become the world\u2019s largest oil producer. Fracking initiated by Obama[1] and continued by Trump, then by Biden and will continue under Harris or Trump 2.0. How thin the politics. How meagre the demands of some activists have become.\u201d And relevant to yesterday\u2019s post: \u201cI was thinking about this when I sat outside every evening for four nights on an island in southern Europe, on a well-lit patio at the end of quiet, carless street expecting to see moths swarming the lights. I know well the trouble insects are in, but I still expected to see moths. I saw one. Moths are critical night-time pollinators, an essential part of the ecology that supports our food chain. In Australia, a type of moth that you could find by the tens of thousands in individual caves suddenly disappeared in the space of a few months. How quickly things can collapse.\u201d \u2022 Thinking of this post, and the comments to yesterday\u2019s post on an insect apocalypse, it occurs to me that this \u201cSilent Summer\u201d on a grand scale might be something that everybody can be brought to see and to understand. That hasn\u2019t been easy to do with climate change. NOTE [1] The best starting point for the fracking timeline is Dick Cheney\u2019s Energy Task Force (and the \u201cHalliburton Loophole\u201d) under Bush the Younger, not Obama. It\u2019s bipartisan! <\/p>\n<p>Climate<\/p>\n<p>\u201cUncertainties too large to predict tipping times of major Earth system components from historical data\u201d [Science]. \u201cOne way to warn of forthcoming critical transitions in Earth system components is using observations to detect declining system stability. It has also been suggested to extrapolate such stability changes into the future and predict tipping times. Here, we argue that the involved uncertainties are too high to robustly predict tipping times. We raise concerns regarding (i) the modeling assumptions underlying any extrapolation of historical results into the future, (ii) the representativeness of individual Earth system component time series, and (iii) the impact of uncertainties and preprocessing of used observational datasets, with focus on nonstationary observational coverage and gap filling. We explore these uncertainties in general and specifically for the example of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. We argue that even under the assumption that a given Earth system component has an approaching tipping point, the uncertainties are too large to reliably estimate tipping times by extrapolating historical information.\u201d \u2022 Oh. <\/p>\n<p>The Gallery<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAndy Warhol\u2019s lost Amiga art found\u201d [The Silicon UnderGround]. \u201cTo a casual viewer, they look like low resolution images with a very limited number of colors, and it\u2019s not completely unfair to say they bear some resemblance to something my kids would have created in Microsoft Paint when they were little. But when I showed the images to my wife, a former high school art teacher, the first thing she noticed was his choice of colors. He deliberately chose colors that contrasted with each other, and the other colors he used were colors you would get from mixing two or more of the other colors he used. Rule number one of painting, she said, is to never use black or brown, but make your own from the other colors you\u2019re using. Warhol\u2019s images contain odd shades that result from mixing other colors in the image together. When you look at Andy Warhol paintings, his style suited these specific tools. He often worked from photographs, creating stark images containing bold flood fills with only a few colors. Sometimes he would cut up photographs, or have someone else cut up the photographs, then he would arrange the pieces and then paint what he saw. With the Amiga, he could do all of this digitally. So the choice of Andy Warhol to demonstrate how to use the machine was a brilliant idea. This computer with advanced graphics capabilities for its time, and the ability to multitask and switch between different tools so he could cut up and resize images and then paste the result into the image he was working on couldn\u2019t have suited him any better if he\u2019d designed it himself. Problem was, he didn\u2019t know how to use a computer.\u201d \u2022 Worth a read!<\/p>\n<p>Turner as Geiger?!<\/p>\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Also felt apt that one of things I saw this avo at Tate Britain was Turner\u2019s Fall of Anarchy. pic.twitter.com\/eftLQ8INNf<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Rishi Dastidar \ud83d\udd31\ud83c\udf0a (@BetaRish) August 4, 2024<\/p>\n<p>News of the Wired<\/p>\n<p>I am not yet feeling wired today.<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>Contact information for plants: Readers, feel free to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) find out how to send me a check if you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to find out how to send me images of plants. Vegetables are fine! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary plants! If you want your handle to appear as a credit, please place it at the start of your mail in parentheses: (thus). Otherwise, I will anonymize by using your initials. See the previous Water Cooler (with plant) here. From KW:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/fog.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"379\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-276302\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/fog.jpeg 600w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/fog-300x190.jpeg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>KW writes: \u201cFog on the Marsh, Madison,Wisconsin. The Ho Chunk word for fog is ruuj\u0105.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>* * *<\/p>\n<p>Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not covered by the annual NC fundraiser. So if you see a link you especially like, or an item you wouldn\u2019t see anywhere else, please do not hesitate to express your appreciation in tangible form. Remember, a tip jar is for tipping! Regular positive feedback both makes me feel good and lets me know I\u2019m on the right track with coverage. When I get no donations for three or four days I get worried. More tangibly, a constant trickle of donations helps me with expenses, and I factor in that trickle when setting fundraising goals:<\/p>\n<p>Here is the screen that will appear, which I have helpfully annotated:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-226891\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/contribution.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"606\" height=\"384\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/contribution.png 606w, https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/contribution-300x190.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 606px) 100vw, 606px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>If you hate PayPal, you can email me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, and I will give you directions on how to send a check. Thank you!\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"printfriendly pf-alignleft\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border:none;-webkit-box-shadow:none; -moz-box-shadow: none; box-shadow:none; padding:0; margin:0\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.printfriendly.com\/buttons\/print-button-gray.png\" alt=\"Print Friendly, PDF &amp; Email\"\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/2024\/08\/200pm-water-cooler-8-6-2024.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Lambert Strether of Corrente Bird Song of the Day Readers have been so happy with the mockingbirds I\u2019m going to keep doing them. Now entering Day Two of Week Three! Long-tailed Mockingbird, Quebrada El Lim\u00f3n (Valqui E4.2), Piura, Peru. * * * In Case You Might Miss\u2026 Best Olympic story. Walz is Kamala\u2019s VP [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6562,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[35,34,36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6561","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-berita-internasional","category-berita-dalam-negeri","category-berita-panas"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6561","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6561"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6561\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10660,"href":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6561\/revisions\/10660"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/6562"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6561"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6561"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uang69.id\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6561"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}