By Lambert Strether of Corrente<\/p>\n
Plenty more on the way\u2026 <\/p>\n
Bird Song of the Day<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
Northern Mockingbird, Wellington, Ontario, Canada. \u201cSinging up a storm on both sides of the road by 71 Maltby Road. Long tailed grey bird with white outer tail feathers and white wing bars.\u201d<\/p>\n
* * *<\/p>\n
In Case You Might Miss\u2026 <\/p>\n
(1) Pelosi and the Twenty Fifth Amendment.<\/p>\n
(2) Establishment voices at the Atlantic.<\/p>\n
(3) Boeing cluster continues.<\/p>\n
* * *<\/p>\n
Politics<\/p>\n
\u201cSo many of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in fact a rational management of symbolic capital.\u201d \u2013Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles<\/p>\n
* * *<\/p>\n
The Constitutional Order (Twenty-Fifth Amendment)<\/p>\n
\u201cTop Dems threatened to forcibly remove Biden from office unless he dropped out, set him up to fail at Trump debate: sources\u201d [New York Post]. Note this is single-sourced. \u201cAs calls for him to bow out mounted, Biden insisted he would continue, but party bigwigs threatened to invoke the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution. The amendment allows for the vice president and members of the cabinet to declare the president is unfit to serve and force him to step down, the source added. The White House and representatives from the Democratic National Committee did not immediately respond to The Post\u2019s requests for comment.\u201d \u2022 Could it be this is Pelosi\u2019s \u201chard way\u201c? Here in relevant part is the Twenty Fifth Amendment; Section 4:<\/p>\n
Whenever the Vice President and a majority of either the principal officers of the executive departments or of such other body as Congress may by law provide, transmit to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives their written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office, the Vice President shall immediately assume the powers and duties of the office as Acting President.<\/p>\n
So Kamala would have had to initiate the process (which is cumbersome and of uncertain outcome). However, if this story is confirmed, what it means is that the Inner Party is prepared to threaten Constitutional means to get their preferred candidate on the ballot, but if the threat works, they\u2019ll leave a cognitively impaired President in office. Party before country!<\/p>\n
2024<\/p>\n
Less than four months to go!<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
Friday\u2019s RCP Poll Averages:<\/p>\n
![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.nakedcapitalism.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/rcp_2024-07-19.png\")
<\/p>\n
Virginia and North Carolina added to the list. NC was never going for Biden Harris, but Virginia? Yikes! <\/p>\n
* * *<\/p>\n
The Campaign Trail:<\/p>\n
* * *<\/p>\n
Harris (D): \u201cHarris earns $231 million in donations on first day of presidential campaign\u201d [New York Daily News]. \u201cVice President Kamala Harris claimed a stunning $231 million[1] from small and big donors in the first 24 hours since she launched her presidential campaign. In a huge vote of confidence for her still-nascent campaign, Harris won $81 million[2] in small-dollar donations and reportedly scored an additional $150 million[3] \u201cmoney bomb\u201d from big donors in what amounted to the biggest one-day haul of the 2024 election cycle.\u201d \u2022\u00a0[1] The story at NBC has $46.7 million at ActBlue, which is good, but 46.7 is not equal to 231. [2] Harris campaign press release, not sure whether this includes ActBlue or not. [3] Nothing in this article indicates \u201c$150 million\u201d has been scored. Normally, I wouldn\u2019t get into the minutiae of campaign finances, but after our collective experience with Democrat\u2019s years-long denial of Biden\u2019s obvious cognative issues, we know that they\u2019ll lie about literally anything. So here we are!<\/p>\n
* * *<\/p>\n
Straight down the yellow stripe in the middle of the road:<\/p>\n
\u201cSuddenly Trump Looks Older and More Deranged\u201d [Anne Applebaum, The Atlantic]. \u2022 Consider the source; Applebaum is signaling Kamala is more likely to continue the war in Ukraine than Trump.<\/p>\n
\u201cCan Harris Reassemble Obama\u2019s Coalition?\u201d [Ron Brownstein, The Atlantic]. \u2022 No, because all the Obots are now eight years older, are saddled with college debt, and can\u2019t afford to buy houses. And no, because there was never an \u201cObama coalition\u201d in the first place. But Brownstein has been writing this piece for years, and so he writes it again.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe Harris Gamble\u201d [David Frum, The Atlantic]. \u201cEarlier this month, Trump posted on Truth Social an advance warning of the campaign he\u2019ll run against Harris: \u2018Also, respects to our potentially new Democrat Challenger, Laffin\u2019 Kamala Harris. She did poorly in the Democrat Nominating process, starting out at Number Two, and ending up defeated and dropping out, even before getting to Iowa, but that doesn\u2019t mean she\u2019s not a \u2018highly talented\u2019 politician! Just ask her Mentor, the Great Willie Brown of San Francisco.\u2019 In case you missed Trump\u2019s hint, he\u2019s referencing an old internet smear that Harris slept her way to political success.\u201d \u2022 The Harris team had better scrub Kamala\u2019s Wikipedia page, then, or explain Brown\u2019s truly remarkable act of selfless generosity to, as it turns out, his girlfriend: <\/p>\n
In 1994, Speaker of the California Assembly Willie Brown, who was then dating Harris, appointed her to the state Unemployment Insurance Appeals Board and later to the California Medical Assistance Commission. Harris took a six-month leave of absence in 1994 from her duties, then afterward resumed working as prosecutor during the years she sat on the boards. Harris\u2019s connection to Brown was noted in media reportage as part of a pattern of California political leaders appointing \u2018friends and loyal political soldiers\u2019 to lucrative positions on the commissions.<\/p>\n
And it does seem that getting appointed as a \u2018friends and loyal political soldier\u2019 hasn\u2019t been a happy event for Harris only one time. Come on. Are we little children of six?<\/p>\n
\u201cDemocrats Are Making a Huge Mistake\u201d [Graeme Wood, The Atlantic]. \u201cThe error is not the choice of Kamala Harris. It is the sudden rallying behind her, the torrent of endorsements, right after Biden\u2019s self-removal. Biden\u2019s senescence was only part of the party\u2019s crisis. The other part was the impression that Democratic politics felt like a game rigged by insiders to favor a candidate of their choice, and to isolate that candidate from the risk associated with campaigning. For 27 minutes, between the time Biden announced his withdrawal and the time he broke the seal on Harris endorsements by bestowing his, the contest felt thrillingly, bracingly wide-open.\u201d \u2022 It felt that way because it was that way.<\/p>\n
* * *<\/p>\n
My timeline is a sordid mess:<\/p>\n
Kamala is going to win in a landslide and we are going to take back the House and Senate\ud83c\udf0a\ud83d\udd25 pic.twitter.com\/hcTcXEZ2LG<\/p>\n
\u2014 \uaa96\uaa80\u19c1\uaac0\uaab6\uaab6\uaac0\ua838\u19c1\uaadd\ud83e\udeb7\u2728\ud83c\udf0c\ud83d\udcab (@angel_leigh) July 23, 2024<\/p>\n
Democrats en D\u00e9shabill\u00e9<\/p>\n
\u201cA Historian of the Democratic Party Sees Crisis and Opportunity\u201d [Politico]. \u201cBut Democrats will first have to address the reasons why so many people with working-class backgrounds voted twice for Donald Trump and seem ready to do so again. That\u2019s not just members of the white working class who have departed the party in droves in recent decades; polls have shown Trump poised to scoop up working-class Black and Latino voters in potentially historic proportions. Trump and his vice presidential pick JD Vance have eagerly embraced the populist mantle and sought to co-opt some progressive critiques of the free market, even if they\u2019d surely govern in service of plutocrats. Too often, Democrats have failed to articulate a coherent vision of where to take the nation, apart from tolerating cultural differences and moving toward a greener economy, and neither goal speaks to those who have struggled to make ends meet. With Kamala Harris as their candidate, they have an opportunity to begin to change that image. The danger is that they may believe that the crisis they have gone through can be resolved by shifting candidates without addressing the discontents that roil the nation.\u201d \u2022 The difficulty, as Thomas Frank shows, is that the Democrat PMC base hates the working class. The only way that will change is if the Democrats lose in 2024, badly. And again in 2028, because they always double down on failure. That\u2019s a long time to wait. Commentary:<\/p>\n
Joe Biden started an incredible restoration of democracy with his trustbusting administration. <\/p>\n
And made some enemies that anyone should be proud of. <\/p>\n
Harris would win so much support if she just came out swinging. The sooner she gives Lina Khan a bear hug the better.<\/p>\n
\u2014 Zephyr Teachout (@ZephyrTeachout) July 22, 2024<\/p>\n
Would anyone like to make book on Kamala giving Lina Khan a bear hug?<\/p>\n
Syndemics<\/p>\n
\u201cI am in earnest \u2014 I will not equivocate \u2014 I will not excuse \u2014 I will not retreat a single inch \u2014 AND I WILL BE HEARD.\u201d \u2013William Lloyd Garrison<\/p>\n
* * *<\/p>\n
Covid Resources, United States (National): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; includes many counties; Wastewater Scan, includes drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); \u201cIowa COVID-19 Tracker\u201d (in IA, but national data). \u201cInfection Control, Emergency Management, Safety, and General Thoughts\u201d (especially on hospitalization by city).<\/p>\n
Lambert here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To update any entry, do feel free to contact me at the address given with the plants. Please put \u201cCOVID\u201d in the subject line. Thank you!<\/p>\n
Resources, United States (Local): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater reports); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d\u2019Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).<\/p>\n
Resources, Canada (National): Wastewater (Government of Canada).<\/p>\n
Resources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux us\u00e9es); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).<\/p>\n
Hat tips to helpful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, KF, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, square coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3). <\/p>\n
Stay safe out there!<\/p>\n
* * *<\/p>\n
Maskstravaganza<\/p>\n
Because many N95s have a metal nosewire:<\/p>\n
FYI, Vitacore makes masks that can be worn in CT and MRI.<\/p>\n
\u2014 AndiH (she\/her) (@AndiH72) July 22, 2024<\/p>\n
* * *<\/p>\n
Lambert here: Looks like the holiday travel dumped accelerant on the pre-existing surge; see especially the growth in wastewater \u201chot spots.\u201d Stay safe out there!<\/p>\n
TABLE 1: Daily Covid Charts<\/p>\n
LEGEND<\/p>\n
1) \u2605 for charts new today; all others are not updated.<\/p>\n
2) For a full-size\/full-resolution image, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Windows) on the chart thumbnail and \u201copen image in new tab.\u201d<\/p>\n
NOTES<\/p>\n
[1] (CDC) This week\u2019s wastewater map, with hot spots annotated. Keeps spreading.<\/p>\n
[2] (CDC) Last week\u2019s wastewater map.<\/p>\n
[3] (CDC Variants) KP.* very popular.<\/p>\n
[4] (ER) Worth noting Emergency Department use is now on a par with the first wave, in 2020.<\/p>\n
[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Keeps up steady increase. (The New York city area has form; in 2020, as the home of two international airports (JFK and EWR) it was an important entry point for the virus into the country (and from thence up the Hudson River valley, as the rich sought to escape, and then around the country through air travel.)<\/p>\n
[6] (Hospitalization: CDC). The visualization suppresses what is, in percentage terms, a significant increase.<\/p>\n
[7] (Walgreens) An optimist would see a peak.<\/p>\n
[8] (Cleveland) Still going up!<\/p>\n
[9] (Travelers: Positivity) Up. Those sh*theads at CDC have changed the chart so that it doesn\u2019t even run back to 1\/21\/23, as it used to, but now starts 1\/1\/24. There\u2019s also no way to adjust the time rasnge. CDC really doesn\u2019t want you to be able to take a historical view of the pandemic, or compare one surge to another. In an any case, that\u2019s why the shape of the curve has changed.<\/p>\n
[10] (Travelers: Variants) Same deal. Those sh*theads. <\/p>\n
[11] Deaths low, but positivity up.<\/p>\n
[12] Deaths low, ED up.<\/p>\n
Stats Watch<\/p>\n
Manufacturing: \u201cUnited States Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index\u201d [Trading Economics]. \u201cThe composite manufacturing index in the US Fifth District declined for a second consecutive month to -17 in July 2024, the lowest level since May 2020.\u201d<\/p>\n
* * *<\/p>\n
Manufacturing: \u201cBoss of biggest 777X customer wants Boeing fixed \u2014 with union help\u201d [Seattle Times]. \u201cTim Clark, who runs Gulf carrier Emirates and is an essential and exacting customer of both Airbus and Boeing, is waiting for delivery of more than 200 giant 777Xs with both optimism and worry. He doesn\u2019t expect to get the first ones until mid-2026, he said in an interview at the Farnborough Air Show. He knows Boeing has a difficult time ahead to fix its manufacturing problems. And he believes Boeing management needs the company\u2019s front-line workers and their union on its side to get the job done. \u2018The guys on the shop floor, the engineers, the machinists, they know what to do,\u2019 said Clark. \u2018They can get it sorted.\u2019 \u2018Don\u2019t forget the workforce. Make sure they get a good deal. Make sure that you look after them,\u2019 he added. \u2018Make sure you recognize the criticality of what they do.\u2019 If that makes Clark sound like a socialist, he\u2019s not. A 74-year-old Englishman, he runs one of the richest airlines in the world from Dubai in the United Arab Emirates. He does believe in Boeing\u2019s legacy of engineering and manufacturing prowess, and he wants it restored because he needs it for his business. Emirates has a giant fleet of 271 big commercial jets, including 118 Airbus superjumbo A380s, and more than 140 Boeing 777s. The A380 is discontinued after it failed to make money for Airbus. So Clark needs the 777X to renew his fleet. He has placed almost half the total orders for the jet. He described the Puget Sound region as \u2018the cradle, the crucible,\u2019 of Boeing and the workers there as capable of pulling the company from the pit it has fallen into. \u2018It\u2019s fixable, very fixable,\u2019 Clark said.\u201d \u2022 But what about the executive\u2019s bonuses?<\/p>\n
Manufacturing: \u201cBoeing Boss Still Hasn\u2019t Met with Whistleblowers to Talk Safety, Lawyer Says\u201d [Newsweek]. \u201cWisconsin Senator Ron Johnson asked [Boeing CEO Dave Calhoun] whether it would be \u2018a good idea\u2019 for him to meet and speak with any of the whistleblowers that had voiced their concerns over the company\u2019s safety practices. Calhoun responded: \u2018Yeh, I think it would.\u2019 Brian Knowles, an attorney who represents over a dozen current and former employees of Boeing, said that he has yet to hear from Calhoun or the company. [Knowls client sam] Mohawk is a quality assurance inspector at Boeing\u2019s production facility in Renton, Washington. In a complaint shared by Senator Richard Blumenthal of the Senate Subcommittee on Investigations, Mohawk alleged that the company had failed to document or correctly store damaged aircraft components, which were then likely used in the assembly of Boeing planes. Knowles also told Newsweek that Mohawk had observed thousands of parts being left \u2018in the elements\u2019 outside of the Renton facility, leading to corrosion of the components. When asked whether his clients would be willing to meet with Calhoun or the Boeing board, Knowles said: \u2018I think they need to.’\u201d \u2022 Calhoun wouldn\u2019t soil his hands, would he.<\/p>\n
Tech: \u201cGoogle to kill off URL shortener once and for all\u201d [The Register]. \u201cGoogle will soon make its own contribution to the problem of link rot by shutting down the Google URL Shortener service in 2025. The Google URL Shortener was launched in 2009 as an attempt to make lengthy links manageable by feeding them into Google\u2019s shortener, which spat out shorter ones in the form of Nine years later, Google decided to pull the service and direct users to Firebase Dynamic Links (FDL) instead. At the time, Google said, \u2018All existing links will continue to redirect to the intended destination.\u2019 However, as of August 25, 2025, any links built with the Google URL shortener in the form of won\u2019t return a response.\u201d \u2022 Let that be a warning to you all!<\/p>\n
Tech: Thank you, Silicon Valley:<\/p>\n
FYI, Vitacore makes masks that can be worn in CT and MRI.<\/p>\n
\u2014 AndiH (she\/her) (@AndiH72) July 22, 2024<\/p>\n
Tech: \u201cAI art has no anti-cooption immune system\u201d [Cory Doctorow, Pluralistic]. \u201cOne thing Myspace had going for it: it was exuberantly ugly. The decision to let users with no design training loose on a highly customizable user-interface led to a proliferation of Myspace pages that vibrated with personality. The ugliness of Myspace wasn\u2019t just exciting in a kind of outsider\/folk-art way (though it was that). Myspace\u2019s ugliness was an anti-cooption force-field, because corporate designers and art-directors would, by and large, rather break their fingers and gouge out their eyes than produce pages that looked like that. In this regard, Myspace was the heir to successive generations of \u2018design democratization\u2019 that gave amateur communities, especially countercultural ones, a space to operate in where authentic community members could be easily distinguished between parasitic commercializers. The immediate predecessors to Myspace\u2019s ugliness-as-a-feature were the web, and desktop publishing. Between the img tag, imagemaps, the blink tag, animated GIFs, and the million ways that you could weird a page with tables and padding, the early web was positively bursting with individual personality.\u201d <\/p>\n
* * *<\/p>\n
Today\u2019s Fear & Greed Index: 59 Greed (previous close: 55 Neutral) [CNN]. One week ago: 60 (Greed). (0 is Extreme Fear; 100 is Extreme Greed). Last updated Jul 22 at 12:14:59 PM ET.<\/p>\n
Zeitgeist Watch<\/p>\n
\u201cGlasgow 2024 Hugo Awards Statement \u2013 22nd July 2024\u201d (statement) [Glasgow2024]. \u201cA large number of votes in 2024 were cast by accounts which fail to meet the criteria of being \u201cnatural persons\u201d, with obvious fake names and\/or other disqualifying characteristics. These included, for instance, a run of voters whose second names were identical except that the first letter was changed, in alphabetical order; and a run of voters whose names were translations of consecutive numbers. Many of these votes favoured one finalist in particular, who we will call Finalist A. This pattern of data is startlingly and obviously different from the votes for any other finalist in 2024, and indeed for any finalist in any of the previous years where any member of the current Hugo Subcommittee has been involved with administering the Hugo final ballot. In addition to patterns observable in the data, we received a confidential report that at least one person had sponsored the purchase of WSFS [World Science Fiction Society] memberships by large numbers of individuals, who were refunded the cost of membership after confirming that they had voted as the sponsor wished. On the basis of the above evidence, we have concluded that at least 377 votes have been cast fraudulently, of a total of 3,813 final ballot votes that we received. We have therefore disqualified those 377 votes from the final vote tally\u2026. We recognise that after the Hugo voting in 2023, many in the community will, understandably, have questions about this. Unfortunately, our ability to answer is very limited, due to our responsibility to maintain the confidentiality of the ballot and data protection regulations. There are proposals to institute a system of independent audit for Hugo votes. But at present such a system does not exist, therefore the raw 2024 voting data cannot and will not be shared outside the Glasgow 2024 Hugo team.\u201d <\/p>\n
\u201cSam Altman sues builder over $27M flooded, sewage-hit \u2018lemon\u2019 of a mega-mansion\u201d [The Register]. \u201c[R[aw sewage was even ejected onto the ground in a \u2018hard to access area at the side of the residence\u2019 due to a bathroom sewer line being unconnected. Contractor bags were also found jammed into a sewer line, \u2018apparently by a disgruntled, unpaid subcontractor,\u2019 Altman\u2019s lawyers claim.\u201d\u2022 Yes, that seems like the kind of mansion an OpenAI co-founder would own. Not that different from work!<\/p>\n
News of the Wired<\/p>\n
\u201cThe Elegance of the ASCII Table\u201d [DanQ]. \u201cThe first printing character is space; it\u2019s an invisible character, but it\u2019s still one that has meaning to humans, so it\u2019s not a control character (this sounds obvious today, but it was actually the source of some semantic argument when the ASCII standard was first being discussed). Putting it numerically before any other printing character was a very carefully-considered and deliberate choice. The reason: sorting. For a computer to sort a list (of files, strings, or whatever) it\u2019s easiest if it can do so numerically, using the same character conversion table as it uses for all other purposes7. The space character must naturally come before other characters, or else John Smith won\u2019t appear before Johnny Five in a computer-sorted list as you\u2019d expect him to. Being the first printing character, space also enjoys a beautiful and memorable binary representation that a human can easily recognise: 0100000\u2026. There\u2019s a strange and subtle charm to ASCII. Given that we all use it (or things derived from it) literally all the time in our modern lives and our everyday devices, it\u2019s easy to think of it as just some arbitrary encoding. But the choices made in deciding what streams of ones and zeroes would represent which characters expose a refined logic. It\u2019s aesthetically pleasing, and littered with historical artefacts that teach us a hidden history of computing. And it\u2019s built atop patterns that are sufficiently sophisticated to facilitate powerful processing while being coherent enough for a human to memorise, learn, and understand.\u201d<\/p>\n
\u201cOn This Blog as a Numbers Station\u201d [Random Notes]. \u201cI\u2019d rather Random Notes be a numbers station, read intently by a few, than a bustling online property. That\u2019s more satisfying on so many levels.\u201d \u2022 Numbers station.<\/p>\n
* * *<\/p>\n
Contact information for plants: Readers, feel free to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) find out how to send me a check if you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to find out how to send me images of plants. Vegetables are fine! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary plants! If you want your handle to appear as a credit, please place it at the start of your mail in parentheses: (thus). Otherwise, I will anonymize by using your initials. See the previous Water Cooler (with plant) here. From Desert Dog:<\/p>\n
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Desert Dog writes: \u201cThe yuccas are just coming out now. The cows like to snack on them and the cowboys say that they have been eating the \u2018soap weed\u2019 because they foam at the mouth and look like they are rabid.\u201d<\/p>\n
* * *<\/p>\n
Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not covered by the annual NC fundraiser. So if you see a link you especially like, or an item you wouldn\u2019t see anywhere else, please do not hesitate to express your appreciation in tangible form. Remember, a tip jar is for tipping! Regular positive feedback both makes me feel good and lets me know I\u2019m on the right track with coverage. When I get no donations for three or four days I get worried. More tangibly, a constant trickle of donations helps me with expenses, and I factor in that trickle when setting fundraising goals:<\/p>\n
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